Ruchi Gupta

Archive for the ‘Terrorism’ Category

Mutiny interview: Munizae Jahangir (NDTV Pakistan Correspondent)

In Politics and Government, Terrorism on April 2, 2009 at 3:10 pm

On March 15, we watched riveted as Nawaz Sharif successfully led a mass demonstration forcing Pakistani President Zardari to reinstate dismissed chief justice, Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry. Even as Pakistan stepped back from a precipice, uncertainties remain. Mutiny interviewed Munizae Jahangir (NDTV’s Pakistan correspondent) to understand where Pakistan is headed. Mutiny is grateful to Munizae for her time and insight. Interview excerpts follow.

Ujjwal: The situation getting resolved peacefully is great news and its perhaps correct for Mr Shahbaz Sharif to call it a great victory for the people in Pakistan, but what do you think is going to happen next?

Munizae: There are many things and issues that need to be resolved and it’s difficult to predict events in Pakistan, as the situation is always volatile and the stakes high. Nevertheless now that the Chief Justice has been reinstated, a battle for Punjab will begin, which is the richest province in Pakistan. Though it initially seemed like PPP would form govt with the PML (Q) ( a party once backed by Musharraf) in Punjab, it is now clear that the PML (N) is in a better position to form government. So once governor rule is lifted from the province, the Sharif brothers will regain control of Punjab. There have also been several petitions that have been filed in the courts challenging former General Musharraf’s 8 year rule. He has been accused of high treason and of savagely violating the constitution of Pakistan. Another petition will be filed against Musharraf very soon for the murder of Baloch leader Akbar Bugti. This petition, if entertained by the courts, carries weight and could land Musharraf into trouble. It would be interesting to see if the army can protect their former Chief of Army Staff against a series of petitions.

Ruchi: Pakistan’s power structure is fissiparous with parallel power centers in the military (four military coups in 60 years) and a weak civilian government. Now we have a rising Islamic fundamentalist belt in north-west Pakistan (Shariah rule in Swat valley). Where do you think Pakistan is headed? Read the rest of this entry »

Life is cheap; industry permits are not

In India Inc, Miscellanea, Politics and Government, Terrorism on January 15, 2009 at 8:10 am

Ambani, Mittal and Tata peddle Modi as PM

Speech excerpts from the Vibrant Gujarat Summit

Anil Ambani: “Narendrabhai has done good for Gujarat. Gujarat has seen progress in all fields under his leadership. Now imagine what will happen to the nation if he leads the nation. A person like him should be the next leader of the country”

Sunil Mittal: “Modi has a magnetic personality, which has attracted several companies to the state. I have had the opportunity to observe him closely during work and I must say that we run only companies and earn money, but if there is one person who can run not only a company or a sector, but a whole nation as CEO, it’s Narendra Modi”

Ratan Tata: “I have to say that today there is no state like Gujarat. Under Mr Modi’s leadership, Gujarat is head and shoulders above any state …  in the Nano case, we had our land and approval in just two days … [laud] the speed and transparency [with which Mr Modi worked]’’

How can we overlook the Godhra riots simply because of the speed with which the CM supports industrialization?  We are all so riled up after the Mumbai terror attacks, yet we overlook the systematic violence against Muslims in Gujarat in 2002. We can’t be selectively outraged when we are the target while disregarding serious moral lapses when some removed minority is.  Rise of Hindu fundamentalism will give rise to Islamic extremism. And it’s shocking that India Inc, especially those who like to count themselves amongst the educated, will overlook such serious moral transgressions in their bid for easy industry permits.

On a related note, here’s a quick poll:

  

Good to know: What does 49-O really amount to? Not much , especially in its current non-secret ballot form

Combating terrorism in India

In Poverty in India, Terrorism on January 2, 2009 at 9:25 pm

Some 400 people died in terror attacks in 2008. In 2005, 94,985 died in road accidents in India. Delhi alone had 2169 casualties (source below).
The poorest in our country live in perilous conditions every day of their life – their daily commute is fraught with danger, their underpaid jobs provide little safety or security, and there’s seldom any mention of their names in the news when dozens die crushed under the giant wheels of a bus, or a drunk rich kid’s car. The daily terror of being poor is ignored. Yet there is disproportionate angst after the Mumbai attacks (or the misnomer 26/11) since for the first time the rich and powerful were targeted.  Addressing and combating terror is clearly an important priority however as a country we need to keep perspective with respect to the focus, mindshare, and resources we attach to it. Moreover to combat terrorism, we need both a short-term response and long-term solution.There’s a lot of talk (and pseudo-action) on the short-term response. Some are no brainers: we need to fix accountability (yet stay away from reactionary politics), plug our security holes (while understanding the constraints of India’s size, multi-ethnicity, its stated secularist ideals, and civil liberties of its citizens and residents) and improve our emergency response apparatus (more NSG hubs etc). Other initiatives like the anti-terror law are unproductive: unlikely to deter the terrorist who comes to kill and be killed, and more likely to to be misused to violate civil liberties. Terrorism in India isn’t an isolated problem of  dealing with an errant neighbour, and it cannot be addressed simply in crisis management mode. We need a social solution, an interlocking framework of symbiotic initiatives. Terrorism in India is both homegrown (e.g., SIMI, Maoists, ULFA) and (forcibly) imported from Islamic extremists (Pakistan supported LeT, Jaish e Muhammad etc).

The homegrown terrorism can never be crushed without mainstreaming the marginalized (the poorest, and/or minorities) of the country, those without opportunities of education and vocation. While there are cases of middle class ideologues (e.g., the Bangalore IT guy), overwhelmingly, on the ground recruits hail from backward communities (the Hindu fundamentalists are unique in that they are actively cultivated by some of our highest politicians (think Narendra Modi, Advani)).

As for the insurgency created by Pakistan – we absolutely need to find a peaceful political solution to Kashmir. What we have now is a stalemate – Kashmir cannot possibly be hundred percent either with India or Pakistan. Even Ehud Olmert, the outgoing prime minister of Israel understands that lasting peace in Israel is possible only if Israel cedes some territory to Palestine, including parts of Jerusalem. In India we grow up indoctrinated in to self-righteous avows that Kashmir is ours without ever going into the details (as is undoubtedly the Pakistani public). India and Pakistan were carved out of one country, with the 560 princely states under allegiance to the Brits told to join India/Pak based on their geography and religion of the residents. The ruler of Kashmir dithered until Oct 1947 to sign the instrument of accession to India, but only after Pak army had come marching in to stake control. Both Pak and India brokered a peace agreement to confirm the accession based on a referendum (which never happened). Given this backdrop, does a two-state solution really seem that far out the realm of reasonable? Yet no politician on either side of the LoC will advance this idea, ’cause of the insurmountable public opinion against it. However, as we sit in Delhi, Mumbai or any other damn place other than Kashmir, what right do we have to continue a stalemate that is destroying the people of Kashmir. Also, we are losing moral authority  with every human rights violation by Indian forces there, which creates a tide of bad feeling against India in the minds of Kashmiri residents.

India can’t possibly afford the rhetoric of a war with Pakistan. War is expensive (we are already running one of the highest fiscal deficits in the world) and it will further destabilize Pakistan and increase its military’s might. Which country, however mighty its armed forces has been able to control guerrilla insurgency (US cannot in Iraq; Israel can’t with Hamas, Hezbollah, and Palestinian suicide bombers). These suicide bombers, these men on a mission to kill (and be killed in the process) cannot be stopped merely by waging a war. It’s their very sense of marginalization that finds solace in extremist ideology. After eight years of waging a costly and unpopular war, the US too is rethinking its unilateral recourse to military action. The US Defense Secretary Robert Gates writes in the Jan/Feb 2009 issue of Foreign Affairs. “But not every outrage, every act of aggression or every crisis can or should elicit a military response… [military action] “should be subordinated to measures aimed at promoting better governance, economic programs that spur development and efforts to address the grievances among the discontented, from whom terrorists recruit.” It is India’s self-interest to focus on development at home, and its neighbouring countries, like its current efforts in Afghanistan. We should also resume cultural and trade ties with Pakistan – suspending the much looked forward to cricket tour served no purpose. The Pakistani civilian government is weak, and we shouldn’t play into its military’s plans by irresponsible rhetoric from our government or our news media.

As a country, we need to actively start thinking about concerted action – we can’t selectively target the problem of terrorism and hope to fix it in isolation. Long-term development plans don’t incite the same kind of passion as war rhetoric, or gotcha! investigation of the government do, but objectively that’s our only hope.

Source: World Road Statistics, 2007. The data is a little dated; however it will likely be comparable (if not more) in India given the increase in cars on Indian roads  died in Indian road accidents